Cellular Phone Forum / Providers / ATT Wireless / April 2008
pple will sell 45 million iPhones in 2009
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4phun - 04 Apr 2008 00:47 GMT Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? Tuesday, April 01, 2008, 4:36:20 PM Today the web is alight with speculation as to how Apple will sell 45 million iPhones in 2009.
More and more people are discovering the iPhone is a killer must have gadget that is matched by absolutely no other smart phone.
News - 04 Apr 2008 00:57 GMT > Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? Only to see 5 million returned; earlier generation iTrash turned into drinks coasters. AAPL fanbois screwed again...
Anybody - 04 Apr 2008 02:19 GMT > > Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? > > Only to see 5 million returned; earlier generation iTrash turned into > drinks coasters. AAPL fanbois screwed again... It's no different to any other manufacturer. Once the new model hits shevles it's already obsolete with the next one in at least advanced planning.
Of course, if the iPhone buyers are anything like the iPod ones, there will be lots of people who own multiple versions. There are people interviewed in the monthly Mac magazine I get who are supposedly "students" and yet own five or six different iPod models. :-\
ben - 04 Apr 2008 14:21 GMT > Only to see 5 million returned; Please provide a link. A web search shows this not to be true.
News - 04 Apr 2008 15:23 GMT >>Only to see 5 million returned; > > Please provide a link. A web search shows this not to be true. Obviously. They haven't sold 45 million in 2009, have they? You can do the math...
Per CNN, AT&T reports a 10% iTrash return rate due to poor battery life and poor "keyboard"; 10% of 45 million is +/- 5 million.
4phun - 04 Apr 2008 22:30 GMT > >>Only to see 5 million returned; > [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > Per CNN, AT&T reports a 10% iTrash return rate due to poor battery life > and poor "keyboard"; 10% of 45 million is +/- 5 million. Both of those concerns are hog wash spread by Usenet fudsters. The iPhone battery lasts me all day using it all the time. Just a few minutes ago I answered a work email using just one handed iPhone touch typing and driving. I knocked out several long sentences with no spelling errors because of the Apple software design for the iPhone keyboard. It took only a couple of minutes to read and reply to an urgent query. I would never try that with any other smart phone I have used to date. For those of us who use it continually the iPhone keyboard simply works!
I can't understand the losers who can't master such a simple item. I guess they feel comfortable only with crayons and have never advanced beyond that.
I now manage ten separate email accounts while out and about with the iPhone. I love its versatility.
The whole thing is especially valuable to a person like me that gets industrial oil and chemicals on their hands during the day. It is so simple to wipe the iPhone off with an alcohol wipe or Windex.
People who live with and fear germ laden keyboards can avoid a common health issue in spades with the ultra clean iPhone design.
Face it the iPhone is one slick compact internet tablet that slips into any pocket that also happens to be a cell phone. I wish I had bought one the day they came out instead of waiting. It has made that much of a difference in my daily life.
News - 04 Apr 2008 23:13 GMT >>>>Only to see 5 million returned; >> [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] > > Both of those concerns are hog wash spread by Usenet fudsters. Says the AAPL-pologist...
You are swimming against the tide of disaffected public opinion.
Xaviar Underwood - 05 Apr 2008 00:04 GMT > Face it the iPhone is one slick compact internet tablet that slips > into any pocket that also happens to be a cell phone. I wish I had > bought one the day they came out instead of waiting. It has made that > much of a difference in my daily life. I think that is the hardest point to get across to the two or three "non believers" in this group. The iPhone is life changing.
With the exception of the two Nokia trolls that post in here I have never met a dissatisfied iPhone customer anywhere. All have nothing but raves about this revolutionary product. It is not surprising that the statistics you posted bear that fact out. Keep up the good work 4phun.
Larry - 05 Apr 2008 16:17 GMT Xaviar Underwood <xxww@nospam.net> wrote in news:xxww-E196DF.19040004042008 @news.giganews.com:
> With the exception of the two Nokia trolls that post in here I have > never met a dissatisfied iPhone customer anywhere. All have nothing but You must live in a vacuum bottle!
Todd Allcock - 05 Apr 2008 19:22 GMT > > Face it the iPhone is one slick compact internet tablet that slips > > into any pocket that also happens to be a cell phone. I wish I had [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > I think that is the hardest point to get across to the two or three "non > believers" in this group. The iPhone is life changing. Which looks nice on the brochures, Oxford, but exactly HOW is it "life changing?" Because you can browse the web, do e-mail and play music from a portable device? My Dell Axim X5 bought in 2002 in conjunction with my first bluetooth phone was "life changing" in that respect. (While I had devices with that capability even earlier, going back to a Casio E-100 and Nokia 7160 in 2000, they relied on infrared and a slow 14.4k data network- too cumbersome to use unless it was "important." The Dell and BT Nokia combo was when I first really had true data mobility.)
> With the exception of the two Nokia trolls that post in here I have > never met a dissatisfied iPhone customer anywhere. I'm not surprised- it's a slick device that does a few things really well.
> All have nothing but > raves about this revolutionary product. You mean "evolutionary." It might be slicker and cuter, but there's still nothing it can do that Treos didn't do _years_ earlier. That's why "evolutionary" applies.
> It is not surprising that the > statistics you posted bear that fact out. Keep up the good work 4phun. My favorite statistics were the number of iPhone owners that carried a second phone for phone calls and _e-mail!_, and the significant number who wanted to see a QWERTY keyboard and/or a 12-key dial pad on the next model.
SMS - 06 Apr 2008 01:13 GMT > My favorite statistics were the number of iPhone owners that carried a > second phone for phone calls and _e-mail!_, and the significant number who > wanted to see a QWERTY keyboard and/or a 12-key dial pad on the next model. Ultimately, that's why I decided to pass on this version. I needed a new quad band phone for traveling (which I realized on my last trip to Taiwan when they tried to send me a text message with my password and I had to go to the phone company's office and explain that my world phone was so old that I couldn't receive text messages).
Instead of buying an iPhone for $400, and having it unlocked for $35, I bought a cheap quad-band prepaid phone from T-Mobile and I'm paying $15 to have it unlocked. With the iPhone I still would have needed to carry a notebook (or in my case a tablet PC) because the iPhone isn't well suited for e-mail, and because it can't open Word and Excel documents.
My old Toshiba E755 is actually much better than the iPhone for traveling, since it has WiFi, you can attach a keyboard, it can be used as a GPS by sticking in a CompactFlash GPS card, and it can transfer photos via the SD and CF slots. However it's a lousy MP3 player since it wasn't designed for that.
I would have liked one of the HTC smart phones, but the one I wanted was $700 at Costco (unlocked) which I could just not justify to myself.
I'm certain Apple will soon solve all the issues that have many buyers waiting.
Todd Allcock - 06 Apr 2008 05:03 GMT > My old Toshiba E755 is actually much better than the iPhone for traveling, > since it has WiFi, you can attach a keyboard, it can be used as a GPS by > sticking in a CompactFlash GPS card, and it can transfer photos via the > SD and CF slots. However it's a lousy MP3 player since it wasn't > designed for that. What makes it "lousy?" There are a number of good media players for that platform that add much-needed features (like EQ, Divx support, etc.) I use TCPMP.
> I would have liked one of the HTC smart phones, but the one I wanted > was $700 at Costco (unlocked) which I could just not justifyo myself. Yeah, I' m holding off for a subsidized T-Mo branded Tilt/Kaiser, or else I'll probably jump to Sprint SERO and a Mogul, keeping my MDA/Wizard as a backup for overseas use.
> I'm certain Apple will soon solve all the issues that have many buyers waiting.
We'll see. I think Apple will still favor simplicity over features, so who knows what'll be "too complicated" to be included.
Charles - 06 Apr 2008 15:49 GMT > >At 05 Apr 2008 17:16:22 -0700 SMS wrote:
> > I'm certain Apple will soon solve all the issues that have many buyers > >waiting. > > We'll see. I think Apple will still favor simplicity over features, so who > knows what'll be "too complicated" to be included. No one will ever solve all issues on any product. When the 3G iPhone comes out Apple will have solved the issue that has kept me from buying (I can foresee one issue that might stop me, if it is priced at a premium) but I am sure there will be issues that won't be solved, and they could be deal breakers for some buyers. There is no perfect product.
 Signature Charles
SMS - 06 Apr 2008 15:53 GMT >> My old Toshiba E755 is actually much better than the iPhone for traveling, >> since it has WiFi, you can attach a keyboard, it can be used as a GPS by [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > platform that add much-needed features (like EQ, Divx support, etc.) I use > TCPMP. It's not loud enough. When I've used it as a GPS in the car I use an amplified speaker. I guess I could get a Boostaroo ("http://www.boostaroo.com/").
Kevin Weaver - 05 Apr 2008 00:52 GMT On Apr 4, 10:23 am, News <N...@Group.name> wrote:
> ben wrote: > > News <N...@Group.name> wrote: [quoted text clipped - 8 lines] > Per CNN, AT&T reports a 10% iTrash return rate due to poor battery life > and poor "keyboard"; 10% of 45 million is +/- 5 million. Both of those concerns are hog wash spread by Usenet fudsters. The iPhone battery lasts me all day using it all the time. Just a few minutes ago I answered a work email using just one handed iPhone touch typing and driving. I knocked out several long sentences with no spelling errors because of the Apple software design for the iPhone keyboard. It took only a couple of minutes to read and reply to an urgent query. I would never try that with any other smart phone I have used to date. For those of us who use it continually the iPhone keyboard simply works!
I can't understand the losers who can't master such a simple item. I guess they feel comfortable only with crayons and have never advanced beyond that.
I now manage ten separate email accounts while out and about with the iPhone. I love its versatility.
The whole thing is especially valuable to a person like me that gets industrial oil and chemicals on their hands during the day. It is so simple to wipe the iPhone off with an alcohol wipe or Windex.
People who live with and fear germ laden keyboards can avoid a common health issue in spades with the ultra clean iPhone design.
Face it the iPhone is one slick compact internet tablet that slips into any pocket that also happens to be a cell phone. I wish I had bought one the day they came out instead of waiting. It has made that much of a difference in my daily life.
Yeah, Your right and the others that complain about battery life are all wrong.
Spoken like a true apple fanboi.
SMS - 05 Apr 2008 04:21 GMT > Per CNN, AT&T reports a 10% iTrash return rate due to poor battery life > and poor "keyboard"; 10% of 45 million is +/- 5 million. What's the return rate of other phones?
The iPhone actually has good battery life when used as a phone. Those complaining about battery life probably are using it a lot on WiFi, which is of course is the reason most people purchase the iPhone in the first place. It's a web pad with a phone and music player.
As to the "keyboard" the buyers should have known about this. The iPhone isn't an enterprise device, and wasn't designed for massive amounts of e-mail or texting.
Larry - 05 Apr 2008 16:04 GMT SMS <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote in news:47f6ef52$0$36409 $742ec2ed@news.sonic.net:
> It's a web pad with a phone and music player. Best description of the year!
Congrats....(c;
News - 05 Apr 2008 16:11 GMT > SMS <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote in news:47f6ef52$0$36409 > $742ec2ed@news.sonic.net: [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > > Congrats....(c; Expensive drinks coaster.
Anybody - 06 Apr 2008 02:07 GMT > SMS <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote in news:47f6ef52$0$36409 > $742ec2ed@news.sonic.net: [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > > Congrats....(c; The iPhone is and always has been a video iPod with phone and web abilities.
DTC - 04 Apr 2008 01:28 GMT > Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? Sure...cut the price by 2/3.
SMS - 04 Apr 2008 03:34 GMT >> Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? > > Sure...cut the price by 2/3. Not an impossible scenario. When the current model didn't sell as well as expected they dropped the price by 1/3. Selling an 8GB 2G model for $200, a 2/3 price cut from the original price, may well happen in 2009.
Also, the next generation could very well have several variations at different price points, with more than just the amount of memory being the differentiator. 2G versus 3G, and GPS versus no GPS are possible differentiators. If they're serious about taking on WinMo and Blackberry devices, maybe there will be a model with a slide-out keyboard.
There are several features they could add at very little cost that would greatly boost sales beyond the current level, and expand the market into the general population of phone buyers.
Anybody - 04 Apr 2008 05:12 GMT > >> Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? > > [quoted text clipped - 13 lines] > greatly boost sales beyond the current level, and expand the market into > the general population of phone buyers. Not going to happen. Apple doesn't really produce multi-models of products in this way. This is due to the fact that a few years ago when they were in real trouble they had far too many models, so new management cut back and they now have a much simpler product line-up, especially in the iPod line where there are no "build-to-order" options (other than engraving).
SMS - 05 Apr 2008 13:53 GMT > Not going to happen. Apple doesn't really produce multi-models of > products in this way. It's going to have to happen to sell 45 million units. They will have to have a low-end, inexpensive model for the masses (perhaps still only 2G), a more fully featured model for those that are willing to pay for things like more memory, a GPS, etc, and perhaps an enterprise model designed to compete with the Blackberry and other enterprise phones, hopefully with a real keyboard and support for Office documents. This is good marketing to change the consumers perspective to "which iPhone do you want?," rather that making it an iPhone versus other phone decision.
In the U.S. they will have to move away from the sales model of not subsidizing the phone purchase by requiring a 2 year contract (in other iPhone countries this is already the case), back to a traditional sales model.
Their sales problems with the current model are because it's too expensive for a 2G device, it can't be used by large businesses (in fact many forbid its use because of security issues), and it lacks some essential handset features such as voice dialing. These are all issues that can be solved, in their effort to move the iPhone from a geek device into the general population.
I know four people with iPhones, but three of them using them without 2G data, and didn't activate them on AT&T (the fourth is an Apple employee that does use AT&T). They had them unlocked for around $35 and use them as a world phone when traveling using a prepaid SIM card (international or country specific), and a web access device, on Wi-Fi, in the U.S.. When in the U.S. they don't use it as a phone because they aren't willing to give up Verizon's coverage (no wonder Apple approached Verizon with the iPhone first!). As a quad-band world-phone, music player, and web pad, the iPhone is not expensive. It's only when compared against more fully featured, and more expensive PDA phones that it falls short.
Larry - 05 Apr 2008 16:08 GMT SMS <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote in news:47f77562$0$36382 $742ec2ed@news.sonic.net:
> it can't be used by large businesses (in fact > many forbid its use because of security issues), and it lacks some > essential handset features such as voice dialing. The simply fact it has a camera will keep it out of most businesses, where cameras and camera phones are forbidden for security reasons.
Blackberrys don't have cameras for a reason, same as PDAs.....enterprise restrictions.
iPhone will never be an enterprise device until Apple lets the IT department, not Apple, have control of the device so they can turn the camera off permanently and control what features and webpages the device will access. No IT control means they simply won't buy it.....ever
Anybody - 06 Apr 2008 02:24 GMT > > Not going to happen. Apple doesn't really produce multi-models of > > products in this way. [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] > good marketing to change the consumers perspective to "which iPhone do > you want?," rather that making it an iPhone versus other phone decision. Again, it ain't gonna happen, especially at this early stage of the product line.
Apple simply doesn't have convulted product lines. They have VERY simple product liens with little room for confusing the buyers.
The iMac ships in three basic models - the only difference being the screen size and minor increments in hard drive space and chip speed. The other Mac models have similarly tight strucutre.
The traditional iPod ships in three basic models (Shuffle, Nano, "Classic"), the only difference being memory size and colour. The iPod Touch ships in one basic model, with again memory size being the only difference.
Apple's "iPhone" will stay more or less as it is now, the only real change will be "2.5G" to "3G". They might add GPS, they might upgrade the camera, etc. to the next model, but those changes will be across the range. They may keep a "2.5G" model for countries that don't have 3G, but other than that the only difference between currently shipping models will be the memory size.
You *might* get an "iPhone Nano" at some stage, but that's at least a couple of years away yet.
It's EXTREMELY unlikely that Apple will ever make an iPhone with a real keyboard (more likely a third party will make an add-on keyboard).
Microsloth is already looking at iPhone software.
Besides, Apple could sell "45 million units" of garlic-floured chewing gum simply by sticking their logo on it and having a slick packaging and advertising campaign. :-)
Anybody - 04 Apr 2008 02:16 GMT In article <3961a76f-8572-401f-92b9-3dfd4269bf4c@c65g2000hsa.googlegroups.com>,
> Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? > Tuesday, April 01, 2008, 4:36:20 PM [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > More and more people are discovering the iPhone is a killer must have > gadget that is matched by absolutely no other smart phone. Well, there is at least two iClones that I know of. :-)
Ron - 04 Apr 2008 13:32 GMT >Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? >Tuesday, April 01, 2008, 4:36:20 PM [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] >More and more people are discovering the iPhone is a killer must have >gadget that is matched by absolutely no other smart phone. And wait just 2 1/2 months for when all manner of 3rd party apps become available, and new models are brought out by Apple.
4phun - 05 Apr 2008 11:31 GMT > Could Apple sell 45 million iPhones a year? > Tuesday, April 01, 2008, 4:36:20 PM [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > More and more people are discovering the iPhone is a killer must have > gadget that is matched by absolutely no other smart phone. I have found more details about how Apple may sell 45 million in 2009.
Cheaper iPhone pictured? http://altmedia.macobserver.com/tmo_media/article/2008/04/20080403iphoneback.png
Apple may introduce three distinct iPhones within twelve months. One of these will be an ultra cheap 8GB iPhone for the low end mass market with a plastic case. A enterprise suitable 3G phone and a larger size high end iPhone which may be the rumored Apple UMPC/ Tablet.
http://www.phonemag.com/analyst-3g-iphone-by-september-budget-400-versions-by-ja n-2009-032071.php
All in all Apple will become best known no longer for the iPod but the iPhone which will be for everyone the must have gadget.
iPhone price cuts as volume builds, T-Mobile has cut their price on the iPhone to $155 in Europe with a new plan subscription.
Another anaylis indicates the current iPhone shortage is simply due to incredible global demand building for the current model.
The best quote I have seen this morning about those who hate the Apple iPhone is from Phone Magazine which writes they should "pick up a Windows Mobile smartphone; only problem is, the GUI is a pile of stewed dung compared to the slick interface Apple crafted for the iPhone."
;>)
http://www.phonemag.com/vito-re-skin-windows-mobile-with-some-added-apple-elegan ce-042257.php
Larry - 05 Apr 2008 16:19 GMT 4phun <vic.healey@gmail.com> wrote in news:c7aff1e8-8837-4a30-b64e- f5b91155ffcf@z38g2000hsc.googlegroups.com:
> I have found more details about how Apple may sell 45 million in > 2009. Nokia just announced they have 40% of the sellphone market. Samsung is 2nd with around 20%, way behind....
How many phones is that, 40.1%??
Todd Allcock - 05 Apr 2008 19:01 GMT > The best quote I have seen this morning about those who hate the Apple > iPhone is from Phone Magazine which writes they should "pick up a [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > > ;>) I won't argue with that. My problem with the iPhone is that the device under the "elegant interface" is less capable than many other smartphones.
Good first effort, though. Apple will get there eventually.
SMS - 06 Apr 2008 01:06 GMT >> The best quote I have seen this morning about those who hate the Apple >> iPhone is from Phone Magazine which writes they should "pick up a [quoted text clipped - 8 lines] > > Good first effort, though. Apple will get there eventually. I agree. Those that write off Apple simply because the first iPhone wasn't as good as come devices from more experienced companies in the mobile phone business do so at their own peril. Apple has the marketing and manufacturing capability to make the iPhone a big seller, and they will certainly address the issue of capability with the future models.
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