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Cellular Phone Forum / Providers / Sprint PCS / July 2005

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Post-Analog: What is the plan for Sprint?

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Mij Adyaw - 20 Jul 2005 20:44 GMT
After the final switch is turned-off for analog cellular in the United
Stated, what will happen to Sprint? Sprint does not have an extremely large
foot-print for native service and therefore it will need to rely on digital
roaming on Verizon and other Digital CDMA carriers. Sprint will certainly
need to negotiate good digital roaming agreements, otherwise there will be
too much of a gap on their service maps.

I wonder if new phones in the future will offer both CDMA and GSM since that
is all that will be left in the United States after the demise of analog.

What do you all think? What will the future bring for Sprint?

-mij
Bob Smith - 20 Jul 2005 21:08 GMT
> After the final switch is turned-off for analog cellular in the United
> Stated, what will happen to Sprint? Sprint does not have an extremely large
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
>
> -mij

You make it sound like analog is going away tomorrow. It still serves a
major service for those small markets where none of the big wireless telcos
have any service and analog will be here for quite some time.

Bob
Steve Sobol - 20 Jul 2005 21:48 GMT
> You make it sound like analog is going away tomorrow. It still serves a
> major service for those small markets where none of the big wireless telcos
> have any service and analog will be here for quite some time.

Regardless, if Sprint gives a rat's a.s about their customers, they'll start
inking more CDMA digital roaming agreements.

Analog is completely insecure, and with the current administration in the
White House wanting to give law enforcement the ability to do almost
anything they want to without a warrant or probable cause, I don't want to
use AMPS anymore. At all.

Shifting completely to CDMA won't totally prevent "We're from the
government, we're here to help" lackeys from being able to snoop on you, any
more than even the fanciest, most expensive car alarm will keep the most
determined professional burglars from stealing your car. What it WILL do is
make it more expensive and more of a hassle for them or anyone else to
eavesdrop on your cellular conversations.

It's all about security and privacy.

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Bob Smith - 20 Jul 2005 22:34 GMT
> > You make it sound like analog is going away tomorrow. It still serves a
> > major service for those small markets where none of the big wireless telcos
[quoted text clipped - 16 lines]
>
> It's all about security and privacy.

Sure it is, and I'm sure that it's SPCS's intent to sign up with as many
digital roaming partners as possible. In saying that, there are still areas
in the boonies that no one has digital coverage.

Bob
Paul Miner - 20 Jul 2005 23:08 GMT
>> You make it sound like analog is going away tomorrow. It still serves a
>> major service for those small markets where none of the big wireless telcos
[quoted text clipped - 16 lines]
>
>It's all about security and privacy.

If you're talking about Government monitoring, then it makes
absolutely no difference whatsoever whether the radio portion of the
network is analog, digital, CDMA, TDMA, GSM, or any of the other
standards because they have their taps located AFTER all of that, in
the regular TCP/IP portion of the network. OTOH, if you meant any old
Joe Blow being able to listen in, then yes, analog is less secure
because anyone with a scanner that's able to receive those frequencies
will be able to listen in. They're not supposed to, of course, but
that's another story entirely.

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Steve Sobol - 20 Jul 2005 23:25 GMT
> If you're talking about Government monitoring, then it makes
> absolutely no difference whatsoever whether the radio portion of the
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> will be able to listen in. They're not supposed to, of course, but
> that's another story entirely.

As I mentioned, CDMA encryption is not a panacea. Plus, law enforcement can
get a warrant and force the landline and cellular carriers to install a tap
within the POTS or cellular network. But *legal* wiretaps aren't really my
concern. My concern is with wiretaps where the government pulls a stunt like
invoking the Patriot Act or something like that, where (legally) the wiretap
is in a gray area and they're trying to pull my conversation off the airwaves.

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scannell - 22 Jul 2005 06:23 GMT
Again, delusions of grandeur.  Nobody cares what you have to say on your
phone unless you are a terrorist, then they should not only eavesdrop on
your phone, but cut your throat as well.

scannell
cols oh

> As I mentioned, CDMA encryption is not a panacea. Plus, law enforcement
> can get a warrant and force the landline and cellular carriers to install
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> (legally) the wiretap is in a gray area and they're trying to pull my
> conversation off the airwaves.
Steve Sobol - 22 Jul 2005 07:24 GMT
> Again, delusions of grandeur.  Nobody cares what you have to say on your
> phone unless you are a terrorist, then they should not only eavesdrop on
> your phone, but cut your throat as well.

It's not that I think I'm important, my friend. The government has gone way
overboard in their desire to root out terrorists. They've made it quite
clear that they want law enforcement to be able to do a lot of things
without warrants that currently require them. This is no big secret.

It's not that I think the FBI gives a damn about me personally. I'm pretty
convinced they don't.

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Mij Adyaw - 20 Jul 2005 23:21 GMT
Yes, that is correct, however, CDMA, GSM, or any other digital transmission
will prevent the geek kid that lives down the street from eavesdropping on
your conversation with a modified police scanner. I never give out credit
card numbers of any personal information on an analog connection for this
reason. Note that this rule also applies to analog cordless telephones.

-mij

>> You make it sound like analog is going away tomorrow. It still serves a
>> major service for those small markets where none of the big wireless
[quoted text clipped - 17 lines]
>
> It's all about security and privacy.
Isaiah Beard - 21 Jul 2005 17:05 GMT
> Analog is completely insecure, and with the current administration in
> the White House wanting to give law enforcement the ability to do almost
> anything they want to without a warrant or probable cause, I don't want
> to use AMPS anymore. At all.

Steve, if the government wants to eavesdrop on your phone conversations,
they generally won't bother to do it over the air.  It's much easier for
them to get a warrant and have the cellular carrier's compliance office
set up a tap for them at the MTSO, which pretty much circumvents any
over the air interface, no matter how secure.

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Mij Adyaw - 21 Jul 2005 17:09 GMT
What is a "MTSO"? It is a new acronym for me.

>> Analog is completely insecure, and with the current administration in the
>> White House wanting to give law enforcement the ability to do almost
[quoted text clipped - 6 lines]
> set up a tap for them at the MTSO, which pretty much circumvents any over
> the air interface, no matter how secure.
Bob Smith - 21 Jul 2005 17:16 GMT
> What is a "MTSO"? It is a new acronym for me.

Mobile Telephone Switching Office

Mij, I might recommend that you bookmark this following link, as it's pretty
helpful in finding acronyms.
http://www.acronymfinder.com/

Bob
Paul Miner - 21 Jul 2005 19:32 GMT
>> What is a "MTSO"? It is a new acronym for me.
>
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>
>Bob

That's a pretty good site. They even had a couple of entries for
YGBSM, the motto of the Air Force Wild Weasels. Of course, the real
motto is the impolite version, but close enough. :)

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Mij Adyaw - 20 Jul 2005 23:23 GMT
Analog will go away as soon as the FCC allows cellular carriers to turn it
off. I have heard that this will occur within the next several years. In
this case, OnStar will also have problems since they use analog only service
and probably get very good rates from the cell carriers for doing so.

-mij

>> After the final switch is turned-off for analog cellular in the United
>> Stated, what will happen to Sprint? Sprint does not have an extremely
[quoted text clipped - 20 lines]
>
> Bob
Steve Sobol - 20 Jul 2005 23:29 GMT
> Analog will go away as soon as the FCC allows cellular carriers to turn it
> off. I have heard that this will occur within the next several years. In
> this case, OnStar will also have problems since they use analog only service

No longer true.

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Jerome Zelinske - 21 Jul 2005 04:23 GMT
    If you look at both Sprint PCS' and verizon's web site, you will see
there are very, very, few areas where there is only analog.  Almost all
cellular carriers have overlaid their analog service with either CDMA or
gsm.

>>After the final switch is turned-off for analog cellular in the United
>>Stated, what will happen to Sprint? Sprint does not have an extremely
[quoted text clipped - 24 lines]
>
> Bob
Steve Sobol - 21 Jul 2005 04:28 GMT
>     If you look at both Sprint PCS' and verizon's web site, you will see
> there are very, very, few areas where there is only analog.  Almost all
> cellular carriers have overlaid their analog service with either CDMA or
> gsm.

If you look at Sprint's website, you won't see any analog. :D

I believe Verizon has CDMA everywhere now and has for some time. They do
additionally have AMPS in some of their legacy markets.

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Jerome Zelinske - 21 Jul 2005 05:15 GMT
    Looking at Sprint PCS' web site for Wisc. will show some analog
roaming, not a lot, even some no service areas.  I have not really
looked around for it, but I remember verizon had some analog areas in
Oregon.

>>     If you look at both Sprint PCS' and verizon's web site, you will
>> see there are very, very, few areas where there is only analog.  
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> I believe Verizon has CDMA everywhere now and has for some time. They do
> additionally have AMPS in some of their legacy markets.
Steve Sobol - 21 Jul 2005 05:24 GMT
>     Looking at Sprint PCS' web site for Wisc. will show some analog
> roaming, not a lot, even some no service areas.  I have not really
> looked around for it, but I remember verizon had some analog areas in
> Oregon.

When I said you won't see any analog, I meant you won't see any *native* analog.

Most of that AMPS roaming *should* be CDMA by now. I don't know how much of
it is.

Regarding Oregon, Google for Dan Albrich's posts in alt.cellular.verizon.
According to his experiences, Verizon's coverage in parts of Oregon is horrible.

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Jerome Zelinske - 21 Jul 2005 04:17 GMT
    Almost everywhere there is cellular there is both A and B analog
carriers, and usually at least one of those is now also CDMA.  Most
Sprint PCS phone can roam CDMA cellular.  However I am still of the
opinion that most Sprint PCS customers do not need to roam.

> After the final switch is turned-off for analog cellular in the United
> Stated, what will happen to Sprint? Sprint does not have an extremely large
[quoted text clipped - 9 lines]
>
> -mij
Mij Adyaw - 21 Jul 2005 04:35 GMT
Why are you of the opinion that most SprintPCS customers do not need to
roam?

> Almost everywhere there is cellular there is both A and B analog carriers,
> and usually at least one of those is now also CDMA.  Most Sprint PCS phone
[quoted text clipped - 15 lines]
>>
>> -mij
Steve Sobol - 21 Jul 2005 05:21 GMT
> Why are you of the opinion that most SprintPCS customers do not need to
> roam?

If it was such a big deal for a large number of Sprint customers, Sprint
would probably offer better roaming options. The "America" addon isn't a bad
idea, but it can be restrictive for people who travel extensively and end up
off Sprint's network often.

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Jerome Zelinske - 21 Jul 2005 14:55 GMT
    I wonder what percentage of Sprint PCS customers have added the America
option to their plans?  What percentage of those that regularly use it?
 What is the percentage of roaming minutes, both under america options
and paid per minute.

>> Why are you of the opinion that most SprintPCS customers do not need
>> to roam?
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> bad idea, but it can be restrictive for people who travel extensively
> and end up off Sprint's network often.
DecTxCowboy - 30 Jul 2005 02:40 GMT
> Jerome Zelinske wrote:
> However I am still of the opinion that most Sprint PCS customers do not need to roam.
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
>> Why are you of the opinion that most SprintPCS customers do not need
>> to roam?

As I'm roaming 1/3 of the time on Verizon's analog (I assume its Verizon
as my company Cingular phone was out of range and my buddy's Verizon
phone still worked)...my initial knee-jerk reaction was "what did you
base your opinion on that most Sprint users don't need to roam..."

As i thought about it, in reality, VERY VERY few users ever need to roam
*taken in the context that most usage is in principle cities.*

Case in point, a trade magazine quoted a Cingular spokesman as saying x
percentage of users (something like 95%)in Texas will be GSM by the end
of some year. Since was referring to the number of minutes used, not
number of cities or areas, his statement was misleading as 95% of the
users would be in the Dallas & Ft. Worth, Houston, and San Antonio areas.

To this end, a carrier could drop ALL service outside of the most
profitable areas, and still make lot of money...actually more perhaps as
thousands of little used tower sites could be retired.
Jerome Zelinske - 21 Jul 2005 14:46 GMT
    It is my opinion, and we all have some, that since most of the large
and medium carriers, not just Sprint PCS, will not sign up people who do
not live in their covered area, and those areas are large enough that
most of the customers will spend most of their time in it.  There are
some people, including me, that have not traveled beyond Sprint PCS
coverage for years.

> Why are you of the opinion that most SprintPCS customers do not need to
> roam?
[quoted text clipped - 18 lines]
>>>
>>>-mij
Isaiah Beard - 21 Jul 2005 16:51 GMT
> After the final switch is turned-off for analog cellular in the United
> Stated, what will happen to Sprint? Sprint does not have an extremely large
> foot-print for native service and therefore it will need to rely on digital
> roaming on Verizon and other Digital CDMA carriers. Sprint will certainly
> need to negotiate good digital roaming agreements, otherwise there will be
> too much of a gap on their service maps.

Your post-AMPS vision is erring on the side of chicken little.

First off, the sunset date for AMPS doesn't REQUIRE everyone to turn of
AMPS after the date has passed.  It merely eliminates the requirement
that current AMPS levels be maintained.  If a carrier chooses to
continue using AMPS, they are certainly allowed to do so.

Second, if every AMPS switch just turns off, that doesn't mean coverage
will just disappear.  Cellular carriers would likely replace the
coverage with some digital format, most likely a mix of CDMA and GSM (or
UMTS).

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