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Cellular Phone Forum / Providers / Verizon / November 2006

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Death knell for traditional cellular service?

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Ange1o DePa1ma - 28 Oct 2006 18:53 GMT
It may be time to purchase stock in one of the VOIP companies if the story
in this link is true:

http://www.mercola.com/2005/sep/6/death_of_conventional_american_cell_phone_syst
em.htm


Looks like some sort of long-range, continuous VOIP implementation is on the
way. Once that happens you can kiss the cell companies goodbye.

Angelo
The Other Funk - 28 Oct 2006 19:09 GMT
Finding the keyboard operational
Ange1o DePa1ma entered:

> It may be time to purchase stock in one of the VOIP companies if the
> story in this link is true:
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>
> Angelo

Why does Dr. Mercola need my email address?

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--
Coffee worth staying up for - NY Times
www.moondoggiecoffee.com

Rich - 28 Oct 2006 20:26 GMT
>Finding the keyboard operational
> Ange1o DePa1ma entered:
[quoted text clipped - 15 lines]
>Coffee worth staying up for - NY Times
>www.moondoggiecoffee.com

same question.

73,
rich, n9dko
Janet Wilder - 29 Oct 2006 01:46 GMT
>>Finding the keyboard operational
>>Ange1o DePa1ma entered:
[quoted text clipped - 20 lines]
> 73,
> rich, n9dko

Me three!

Signature

Janet Wilder
Bad spelling. Bad punctuation
Good Friends. Good Life

The Ghost of General Lee - 28 Oct 2006 21:03 GMT
>Finding the keyboard operational
> Ange1o DePa1ma entered:
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
>
>Why does Dr. Mercola need my email address?

Just give it a properly formatted bogus one.
RVer Don - 29 Oct 2006 06:18 GMT
>>Finding the keyboard operational
>> Ange1o DePa1ma entered:
[quoted text clipped - 12 lines]
>
> Just give it a properly formatted bogus one.

I just opened the site the second time to use a bogus address and it didn't
ask for one.

Don in Tracy, Calif.
C C - 29 Oct 2006 02:17 GMT
> Finding the keyboard operational
> Ange1o DePa1ma entered:
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
>
> Why does Dr. Mercola need my email address?

I entered no-one@nowhere.com.  It opened up the full story for me.
George - 28 Oct 2006 22:37 GMT
> It may be time to purchase stock in one of the VOIP companies if the story
> in this link is true:
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
>
> Angelo

Talk about total clueless overhype. They describe hybrid handsets (which
aren't new) which would work with both WiFi and cellular system and then
offer this:

"Just as many people dropped their land lines, nearly everyone will be
dropping their cell phone carriers. The reason? Rock bottom prices. No
longer will you pay over $100 a month for your cell phone. You will pay
$25 for your home AND cell phone for UNLIMITED use. Also remember that
you avoid paying taxes or hidden fees. Just $25 a month."
Janet Wilder - 29 Oct 2006 01:52 GMT
> "Just as many people dropped their land lines, nearly everyone will be
> dropping their cell phone carriers. The reason? Rock bottom prices. No
> longer will you pay over $100 a month for your cell phone. You will pay
> $25 for your home AND cell phone for UNLIMITED use. Also remember that
> you avoid paying taxes or hidden fees. Just $25 a month."

I've had cell phones since 1995. Never paid anywhere near $100 a month.

AFAIK, one needs a broadband connection from someplace for that system
to work. Where does the broadband come from?

Sorry, I didn't feel like fooling with email addresses on the site. So I
didn't read it.

Signature

Janet Wilder
Bad spelling. Bad punctuation
Good Friends. Good Life

Thomas T. Veldhouse - 30 Oct 2006 14:55 GMT
> Talk about total clueless overhype. They describe hybrid handsets (which
> aren't new) which would work with both WiFi and cellular system and then
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> $25 for your home AND cell phone for UNLIMITED use. Also remember that
> you avoid paying taxes or hidden fees. Just $25 a month."

Don't discount the facts.  T-Mobile is investing in just such a roaming
technology.  What should be discounted is the conclusion that traditional
wireless is going to suffer from this.  That I am quite sure will not be the
case.

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Thomas T. Veldhouse
Key Fingerprint: D281 77A5 63EE 82C5 5E68  00E4 7868 0ADC 4EFB 39F0

Ange1o DePa1ma - 30 Oct 2006 20:18 GMT
I suspect you are much younger than I or were not paying attention to what
has happened in telecom over the past 20 years. When I first moved to
semi-rural NJ my phone bills were $500-600 a month. Now they're under $40.
AT&T was too large to fail -- where is it now?

I believe Verizon will be around in 20 years because they're investing in
fiber optics, but I guarantee their phone service (landline and otherwise)
will eventually shrivel up and become a minor entry in their bottom line.
There is no point having a crippled cell phone for $69 a month when you can
have unlimited worldwide phone service for much less. Verizon can't stop
progress. As my father in law has been saying for several years, telephone
service will eventually be free or nearly so, like tap water at Yankee
Stadium.

>> Talk about total clueless overhype. They describe hybrid handsets (which
>> aren't new) which would work with both WiFi and cellular system and then
[quoted text clipped - 11 lines]
> the
> case.
Steven J. Sobol - 30 Oct 2006 20:52 GMT
> I suspect you are much younger than I or were not paying attention to what
> has happened in telecom over the past 20 years. When I first moved to
> semi-rural NJ my phone bills were $500-600 a month. Now they're under $40.
> AT&T was too large to fail -- where is it now?

Back again. SBC was already the largest telco of the Baby Bells, and
if they end up buying BellSOUTH, they'll be even bigger.

Before accusing someone else of not paying attention to the industry, you
need to remember that the FCC is the ILECs' lapdog.

> I believe Verizon will be around in 20 years because they're investing in
> fiber optics

So, supposedly, is The New at&t.

> There is no point having a crippled cell phone for $69 a month when you can
> have unlimited worldwide phone service for much less.

Name anyone, telco or otherwise, who is offering that.

I now have a landline from my cable company - it's not VoIP, it's POTS over
fiber instead of POTS over copper. I get free unlimited domestic calls and
can pay a small monthly fee to get unlimited calls to Mexico and Canada, but
worldwide? Nuh-uh.

I think I do understand where you were going with this post, and I agree to
a certain extent, but things can't slide much further...  and the telcos are
only doing the commodity pricing because they have to. As they grow and re-form
one or two big phone companies, they're going to offer less and less. Verizon
is mostly clueless, but SBC is evil... they were still trying to screw people
five or six years ago, and it will only get worse.

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Steve Sobol, Professional Geek ** Java/VB/VC/PHP/Perl ** Linux/*BSD/Windows
Victorville, California     PGP:0xE3AE35ED

It's all fun and games until someone starts a bonfire in the living room.

Thomas M. Goethe - 31 Oct 2006 06:01 GMT
>> I suspect you are much younger than I or were not paying attention to
>> what
[quoted text clipped - 26 lines]
> but
> worldwide? Nuh-uh.

POTS simply doesn't work over fiber. Sorry. POTS provides power from
central. Fiber does not.
George - 31 Oct 2006 14:56 GMT
>> I now have a landline from my cable company - it's not VoIP, it's POTS
>> over
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> POTS simply doesn't work over fiber. Sorry. POTS provides power from
> central. Fiber does not.

Sure it does. In the case of FiOS they install a media converter (can't
remember the name they use) at the demarc point. It has an F connector
for CATV, a RJ-45 for Ethernet and a RJ-11 for POTS. You plug that into
your existing phone circuit and all of your POTS equipment works as
usual. In this case battery comes from the media converter.
Larry - 31 Oct 2006 15:50 GMT
> Sure it does. In the case of FiOS they install a media converter (can't
> remember the name they use) at the demarc point. It has an F connector
> for CATV, a RJ-45 for Ethernet and a RJ-11 for POTS. You plug that into
> your existing phone circuit and all of your POTS equipment works as
> usual. In this case battery comes from the media converter.

OUCH!  I can attest to the battery on the TV cable for telephone service!  
There's 80+ volts across my coax because the guy who installed it forgot to
pull the jumper across the decoupling capacitor in the post outside.  I
know it's there because I GOT BIT!....(c;

It's POTS in the house...but VoIP very soon...

Larry
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I sure hope Halloween comes real soon....
I've run out of Halloween candy THREE TIMES SO FAR!

Steven J. Sobol - 31 Oct 2006 21:14 GMT
>> I now have a landline from my cable company - it's not VoIP, it's POTS
>> over
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> POTS simply doesn't work over fiber. Sorry. POTS provides power from
> central. Fiber does not.

It's not VoIP. My existing physical phone wiring connects to a "telephony modem"
which connects to the cable company's fiber plant.

It's still POTS as far as I'm concerned. It can't really be considered
anything else, although POTS may not be an accurate name for the service
that is being provided.

Signature

Steve Sobol, Professional Geek ** Java/VB/VC/PHP/Perl ** Linux/*BSD/Windows
Victorville, California     PGP:0xE3AE35ED

It's all fun and games until someone starts a bonfire in the living room.

Ange1o DePa1ma - 31 Oct 2006 07:06 GMT
> Before accusing someone else of not paying attention to the industry, you
> need to remember that the FCC is the ILECs' lapdog.

True enough, but the feds have pretty much kept their hands off new telecom
technologies. Half the cost of my Sprint land line is taken up with taxes
and mysterious fees. My Lingo phone costs me $21 a month, period, end of
story.

If you don't believe telephony will be free or nearly so, there's a new
service now, FuturePhone (www.futurephone.com), which allows you to call
anywhere in the world simply by dialing into a number in Indiana. Ergo, use
your Verizon minutes -- including free night and weekend minutes -- to dial
in to FuturePhone, and when prompted enter any phone number for anyone,
anywhere in the world. It's completely free (I haven't tried it yet).

>> I believe Verizon will be around in 20 years because they're investing in
>> fiber optics
>
> So, supposedly, is The New at&t.

New wireless technology might even make FIOS obsolete. It's a fast-changing
world, my friend.

>> There is no point having a crippled cell phone for $69 a month when you
>> can
>> have unlimited worldwide phone service for much less.
>
> Name anyone, telco or otherwise, who is offering that.

We are beginning to see that. My VOIP service gives me unlimited calls to
North America and 20 European countries for a flat $21 a month. Call quality
is SUPERB. Skype allows you to call any Skype user worldwide for free, and
almost anywhere else for much less than any phone company -- and without
taxes or fees. And the quality is even better than for VOIP or traditional
phones.

It's not quite the Nirvana that Larry envisions unfolding some time next
week, but we're about halfway there. We have the technology to provide free
or almost free phone calls, companies willing to provide those services, and
billions of people waiting to take advantage of it. I don't think U.S.
consumers will stand for the kind of regulation that stifled innovation
until the AT&T breakup, or which keeps us 5 years behind Europe and Asia
with mobile phone service.
Steven J. Sobol - 31 Oct 2006 21:17 GMT

> It's not quite the Nirvana that Larry envisions unfolding some time next
> week, but we're about halfway there. We have the technology to provide free
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> until the AT&T breakup, or which keeps us 5 years behind Europe and Asia
> with mobile phone service.

I'll agree with that, but I am too pessimistic to believe that the ILECs won't
attempt to regulate currently-unregulated technologies to skew the market in
their favor. I've dealt with the telcos many times since I started my IT career
as an ISP techie eleven years ago. I don't trust them.

Signature

Steve Sobol, Professional Geek ** Java/VB/VC/PHP/Perl ** Linux/*BSD/Windows
Victorville, California     PGP:0xE3AE35ED

It's all fun and games until someone starts a bonfire in the living room.

Ange1o DePa1ma - 01 Nov 2006 01:17 GMT
>> It's not quite the Nirvana that Larry envisions unfolding some time next
>> week, but we're about halfway there. We have the technology to provide
[quoted text clipped - 13 lines]
> career
> as an ISP techie eleven years ago. I don't trust them.

Sure they'll try. Just as the cable companies are going to claim movies on
demand by FIOS cause cancer. Politicians will get up and scream about losing
tax revenues. And current ISPs will claim some unwritten "license" (even as
they see their per-customer revenues erode). The problem is this technology
is approaching from every direction. VOIP is already here. Skype is already
free. It would require a truly concerted -- not to mention Machiavelian --  
approach to squelch this stuff

Who the heck is ILEC by the way?
Steven J. Sobol - 01 Nov 2006 01:45 GMT

> Who the heck is ILEC by the way?

Incumbent Local Exchange Carrier - the company providing phone service before
there was any competition. Cf. CLEC, Competitive Local Exchange Carrier.

Most, but not all, ILECs are also RBOCs or were at one point - Regional
Bell Operating Companies, companies formed by the breakup of the original
AT&T. But there are a large number of carriers that aren't, most notably
Sprint which, before shedding their landline business, was the ILEC in much
of Florida as well as in Las Vegas.

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Steve Sobol, Professional Geek ** Java/VB/VC/PHP/Perl ** Linux/*BSD/Windows
Victorville, California     PGP:0xE3AE35ED

It's all fun and games until someone starts a bonfire in the living room.

Dennis Ferguson - 01 Nov 2006 08:48 GMT
>  
>> Who the heck is ILEC by the way?
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
> Sprint which, before shedding their landline business, was the ILEC in much
> of Florida as well as in Las Vegas.

Why don't I remember that about Sprint?  The places I lived in
Florida were all Bellsouth, while I could have sworn that Las Vegas
was Pacific Bell territory.

Dennis Ferguson
Steven J. Sobol - 01 Nov 2006 18:29 GMT

> Why don't I remember that about Sprint?  The places I lived in
> Florida were all Bellsouth, while I could have sworn that Las Vegas
> was Pacific Bell territory.

As I understand it, the rest of Nevada was PacBell/NevBell/SBC/at&T and
Vegas was Sprint, except now that Sprint is out of the landline business
Vegas is controlled by Embarq (the landline co. they spun off)

A large chunk of Florida is Bellsouth. A significant portion of central
Florida, however, was United Telephone/Sprint IIRC.

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Steve Sobol, Professional Geek ** Java/VB/VC/PHP/Perl ** Linux/*BSD/Windows
Victorville, California     PGP:0xE3AE35ED

It's all fun and games until someone starts a bonfire in the living room.

The Ghost of General Lee - 01 Nov 2006 20:17 GMT
>A large chunk of Florida is Bellsouth. A significant portion of central
>Florida, however, was United Telephone/Sprint IIRC.

Is that the same part that used to be GTE (basically the 813 and 727
area codes)?
Steven J. Sobol - 01 Nov 2006 21:17 GMT
>>A large chunk of Florida is Bellsouth. A significant portion of central
>>Florida, however, was United Telephone/Sprint IIRC.
>
> Is that the same part that used to be GTE (basically the 813 and 727
> area codes)?

Might be, or might not be. :) Google for "United Telephone of Florida" - that
may help you find the answer. I don't have it.

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Steve Sobol, Professional Geek ** Java/VB/VC/PHP/Perl ** Linux/*BSD/Windows
Victorville, California     PGP:0xE3AE35ED

It's all fun and games until someone starts a bonfire in the living room.

Larry - 01 Nov 2006 01:21 GMT
> I'll agree with that, but I am too pessimistic to believe that the
> ILECs won't attempt to regulate currently-unregulated technologies to
> skew the market in their favor. I've dealt with the telcos many times
> since I started my IT career as an ISP techie eleven years ago. I
> don't trust them.

That's going to be quite a task.  Skype is in LUXEMBOURGH to avoid the
tax bureaucrats in England.  I'd think the Luxembourgh government would
take a dim view of American bureaucrats harassing their country's
companies....who have NO PRESENCE in America to seize or threaten.

What are they gonna do, cut off the Benelux countries from the net?  Ha!

The IRS and FCC are NOT omnipotent!

Larry
Signature

I'm manning the talking pumpkin, tonight, same as every Halloween.  Most
kids never talked to a pumpkin with a
candle in it, before.
(Radio Shack little intercom makes it easier to hear them,
this year.)

When he brings back his friends, the stupid pumpkin says
nothing.  Pumpkins can't talk, you know....(c;

If he/she comes to the door and says the pumpkin talked to
him/her, he/she gets a golden dollar coin, instead of the

Steven J. Sobol - 01 Nov 2006 01:43 GMT

> That's going to be quite a task.  Skype is in LUXEMBOURGH

So it's not a problem for them. There are still plenty of mainstream VoIP
providers that are headquartered here.

Signature

Steve Sobol, Professional Geek ** Java/VB/VC/PHP/Perl ** Linux/*BSD/Windows
Victorville, California     PGP:0xE3AE35ED

It's all fun and games until someone starts a bonfire in the living room.

Thomas T. Veldhouse - 30 Oct 2006 14:54 GMT
> It may be time to purchase stock in one of the VOIP companies if the story
> in this link is true:
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> Looks like some sort of long-range, continuous VOIP implementation is on the
> way. Once that happens you can kiss the cell companies goodbye.

I doubt it, as there will almost certainly never be wireless coverage out in
the sticks.  They are just offering the ability to "roam" onto the Internet
via a usable wireless connection.

Signature

Thomas T. Veldhouse
Key Fingerprint: D281 77A5 63EE 82C5 5E68  00E4 7868 0ADC 4EFB 39F0

 
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